Wednesday, 6 September 2017

NIGERIA’S EXIT FROM RECESSION, A POLITICAL OR ECONOMIC RUSE? By SHABA Mafu.





Photo credit (Zorah/Flickr). Image of famine in Somalia.

Not long after the All Progressives Congress (APC) party defeated the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in the 2015 general elections, the country was thrown into different and deep troubles. Among the most biting of the troubles was the economic recession the country sank into. The defeated party quickly cashed on this economic challenge of the nation by accusing the ruling party of its cluelessness and having economic amateurs as members of the Economic team. They boasted that in the administration of the defeated PDP, it had a renowned economic team and technocrats headed and coordinated by Dr. Okonjo Iweala, a renowned Economist of the World Bank Standard. But the party also quickly forgot that the defeated government presided over one of the most corrupt era in the history of Nigeria.
The corruption and impunity could be objectively stated that they were the remote causes of the recession that the economy suffered under the APC government. The impunity was so high that the former president, Dr. Goodluck Jonathan boldly defended the corruptness of his government by saying that “stealing is not corruption”. The government of the PDP had a pedigree for corruption with the former Minister of Petroleum under the same regime, Mrs. Diezanni Allison Madueke, is now a point of reference, and can conveniently be referred to in a Doctoral thesis as a case study for her historic corruption as alleged by the Economic and Financial Commission (EFCC). This is not to talk of the Dasuki-Gate where the money meant to buy the weapons to fight the Boko-harams was shared among the committee of thieves under the PDP government.
The economic recession of this present government took a toll on Nigerians.  The economy was almost flat. Many Nigerians especially in the financial and manufacturing sectors lost their jobs. Many companies either folded up or relocated outside the country. The depletion of the value of the nation’s currency led to the high cost of food and other essential commodities. This escalated the poverty-level of the already depressed people of Nigeria. The recession also compressed and constrained the spending level of the affluent. The level of poverty was further compounded with many jobless and unemployed dependants feasting avariciously on the pittance paid to the lucky but definitely under-employed breadwinners. Some people committed suicide, while several others attempted the supreme escapist-device to forestall their hopelessness and irredeemable agony. Crimes reverberated as a mechanism by the criminals to cushion the effects of the recession. Kidnapping became the order of the day as it became extremely lucrative to the extent that some people organized self-kidnapping.
In the midst of these entire prevailing situations that cannot be exhaustively scripted here, the government had promised at several times that the economy will bounce out of recession. Those promises were rather esoteric and hypothetical. Suddenly, like a thunderbolt from the blues, the Office of the Bureau of Statistics announced that Nigeria was out of recession. It quickly added that no one should rejoice prematurely because the impact will take long before being felt by the ordinary Nigerians.  It said that announcement of the end of the recession was not a political statement but rather because the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the country has actually improved successively over the quarters in the year 2017.

The recession will only end when the unemployed are gainfully employed. There will be no recession when the prices of food and other essential commodities are affordable by the common man on the street. It is when men desist from crime as a panacea to the crushing effect of a highly deflated economy, only then can we say there is no recession. Recession can’t end in favour of an international economic theory scripted on papers when Nigerians go begging for fortunes or are at the mercy of the ever-malevolent employers of labour. It is only the poor that can actually announce the end of Nigeria’s recession, and not the government; except the government wants it just for political reason.

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